Voting took place for 288 assembly seats in Maharashtra in a single phase on 20 November. The results will come on 23 November. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led Mahayuti alliance wants to retain power, while the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) aims to make a comeback. Voting for all 288 seats began at 7 am and continued till 6 pm. 58.22 percent voting has taken place till 5 pm in Maharashtra Assembly elections. As soon as the polls closed, pollsters appeared ready to broadcast their predictions. In such a situation, let us tell you what predictions all the surveys are making regarding Maharashtra.
matrices According to , the Mahayuti government seems to be making a comeback in Maharashtra. At the same time, these results are disappointing for Mahavikas Aghadi. According to the matrix, Mahayut is seen getting 150 to 170 seats and Mahavikas Aghadi is seen getting 110 to 130 seats.
Chanakya Exit The poll has predicted a strong performance for the K-led Mahayuti alliance in Maharashtra, with the alliance likely to win 150 to 160 seats in the 288-member assembly. The opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) is expected to secure between 130 to 138 seats.
Times Now JVC According to the exit poll, Mahayuti is expected to get 159 seats, MVA is expected to get 116 seats and others are expected to get 13 seats.
How accurate were the predictions in 2019?
In the 2019 assembly elections in Maharashtra, India Today-Axis predicted 166-194 seats for the NDA (Shiv Sena and BJP) and 72-90 seats for the UPA (Congress-NCP). Furthermore, News18-IPSOS predicted 243 seats for NDA and 41 for UPA. BJP won 105 seats, undivided Shiv Sena won 56 seats, undivided NCP won 54 seats and Congress won 44 seats.
What did the Election Commission say about the exit poll?
In the wake of wrong predictions by exit polls in the Lok Sabha elections and Haryana Assembly elections, the Chief Election Commissioner said exit polls create ‘huge distortion’ and media organizations need to introspect about these expectations. He also said that the difference between exit poll data and actual results could give rise to serious issues.
Competition between two major alliances in the field
Maharashtra Assembly elections 2024 will decide the winner in a high-level battle between the two main alliances, the ruling Mahayuti and the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi. The grand alliance includes the BJP, Shiv Sena (Shinde faction) and Ajit Pawar-led Nationalist Congress Party (NCP). The MVA includes Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT) and Sharad Pawar-led NCP.