The French government, formed just three months ago, is facing a no-confidence vote. Opposition parties are determined to topple the cabinet of Prime Minister Michel Barnier. A no-confidence motion will be presented in Parliament. If this proposal passes, Barnier’s government will become the shortest-lived in the modern history of France. After this, President Emmanuel Macron will have to appoint a new Prime Minister. The National Assembly is to debate two motions brought by the far-left and the far-right, in a standoff with Barnier over the budget, that would introduce major power through the social security budget without a vote.
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Three-time presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) is expected to vote in favor of the motion put forward by the left, giving it enough numbers to pass. Asked on French television if there was any chance his government could survive Wednesday’s vote. Barnier replied that I want it and it is possible. It depends on the MPs. “I think it’s possible to have this reflection of responsibility where – beyond the political differences, the differences, the normal contradictions in a democracy – we tell ourselves there is a higher interest in this,” he said.
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The turmoil follows snap elections called by Macron in the summer, which were aimed, without success, at halting the march of the far right, and leaving no party or faction with a majority in parliament. 288 votes are needed in Parliament to pass the no-confidence motion. Left and far-right parties together have more than 330 votes, making the proposal likely to pass. However, some MPs may abstain from voting, which may affect the outcome.
The constituents of the NFP came together after the 2022 presidential elections. However, Mélenchon’s domineering character and radical stances led to its disintegration. In addition, alliance members have deep policy differences over the Russia–Ukraine war, the war in Gaza, and France’s position in the European Union. The Mélenchon-led party had refused to refer to Hamas as a terrorist group after the attack in October last year.
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