Jerusalem Post has said in its report that along with Iran, its supported Hezbollah and Houthi were also active in the attack on Israel on 13-14 April. After these attacks, there was peace in the area for two days. Israel is taking limited action in Gaza and this front also seems calm to some extent. The IDF has only one division left in Gaza. Hezbollah has also reduced its pace of launching rockets at Israel from Lebanese soil.
Entering a new era of struggle
Talking about Gaza, Hamas has rejected the new ceasefire agreement and Hezbollah is also not ready to withdraw from the border. Even in Syria, Iran's hold does not seem to be weakening. Due to this, it is believed that Iran may increase the barricade. It is difficult to change the behavior of Hamas, Hezbollah or other Iranian proxy organizations through pressure. These points mean that the conflict that began on October 7 in the region has entered a new phase.
The attacks of 13-14 April by Iran were, in a way, the beginning of a new phase of conflict. Timing of attack is very important. The attack symbolically came just after the six-month anniversary of October 7. In such a situation, the question is whether this is the calm before the next storm or can the tension reduce after this development. When things are too quiet it should also be seen as a high alert of a potentially major conflict.